Small scale energy infrastructure

Small scale energy infrastructure

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Small scale energy infrastructure

Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Infrastructure
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Utilities
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
10% - 15% (in IRR)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Medium Term (5–10 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
> USD 1 billion
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
< USD 500,000
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
No Poverty (SDG 1) Affordable and Clean Energy (SDG 7)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure (SDG 9) Reduced Inequalities (SDG 10) Climate Action (SDG 13)

Business Model Description

Provide small scale renewable energy infrastructure to promote access to underserved communities, such as rooftop photovoltaic (PV) systems or off-grid hydrogen generators.

Expected Impact

Improve access to clean energy and provide energy security in rural areas.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

Explore the country and target locations of the investment opportunity.
Region
  • South Africa: Countrywide
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Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Infrastructure

Development need
South South Africa faces significant challenges in achieving SDG 9 - Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure, with a score of 45.0. Scores for other goals include 48.7 for SDG 3 - Good Health and Wellbeing, 67.0 for SDG 6 - Clean Water and Sanitation, 79.0 for SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, and 77.9 for SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities.(1)

Policy priority
The National Planning Committee identified 9 primary challenges, 4 of which have infrastructure development needs and implications: the public health system cannot meet demand or sustain quality, the economy is unsustainably resource intensive, spatial divides hobble inclusive development, and infrastructure is poorly located, inadequate and undermaintained.(2)

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Poor infrastructure can exacerbate the gender gap. In low income countries, women collect over 70% of water and fuelwood. Women spend 200 million hours on water collection every day. Unsafe and low security transport also disadvantage women who are more affected by violence, which affects their wellbeing and workforce participation.(3)

Investment opportunities
President Ramaphosa has an investment drive to mobilise $100 billion for priority sectors, including the energy, water, transport and logistics, and data and ICT sectors.(4) The Sustainable Infrastructure Development Symposium South Africa organised by the Investment and Infrastructure Office within the Presidency seeks to create a $20.5 billion infrastructure fund.(5)

Key bottlenecks
High fixed costs, high levels of debt and low cash reserves may cause a liquidity crisis.(6) Construction was restricted during lockdown and sharp contractions of fixed investment can be expected as firms reconsider or postpone implementation.(7) Projects exposed to foreign currency risk foreign exchange fluctuations and further uncertainty if not previously hedged.(6)

Sub Sector

Utilities

Development need
A major challenge for the South African government is to service rural populations where connection to the national grid is prohibitively expensive.(8) Distributed, off-grid, renewable energy sources (such as solar, wind and hydrogen) offer cost-effective solutions for overcoming the lack of access for the hardest-to-reach populations.

Policy priority
The National Development Plan (NDP) highlights South Africa's infrastructure development needs, including providing affordable and quality infrastructure in the energy, water, transport and logistics, data and ICT sectors. The South Africa National Infrastructure Plan highlights government aims to decarbonize the energy system and provide access to reliable clean electricity.(9)

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Women generally have less access to finance and energy-related services than men. Studies from Africa, for example, show that women-headed businesses generally face more impediments than men in accessing grid electricity.(10)

Investment opportunities introduction
As demand for hydrogen is building globally, the export potential of clean renewable hydrogen is also under scrutiny in South Africa. If South Africa could capture a 25% share of the estimated 800,000 ton/year hydrogen demand from Japan, this could generate USD 600 million a year.(11)

Industry

Electric Utilities and Power Generators

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Small scale energy infrastructure

Business Model

Provide small scale renewable energy infrastructure to promote access to underserved communities, such as rooftop photovoltaic (PV) systems or off-grid hydrogen generators.

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Market Size (USD)
Describes the value in USD of a potential addressable market of the IOA.

> USD 1 billion

The total available energy services market in South Africa is estimated to value R125 billion by 2035.

Small-scale embedded generation: 7.5 gigawatts (GW) of installed capacity by 2035, valued at R75 billion; Energy storage: conservatively estimated at R5 billion by 2035, but could reach up to R30 billion; Energy efficiency: R21 billion by 2035 (13)

Indicative Return

IRR
Describes an expected annual rate of growth of the IOA investment.

10% - 15%

Internal rate of return range: 11–21% based on the expert views (14)

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Medium Term (5–10 years)

Small-scale embedded generation: 5–10 year payback, current investment terms range from 5 to 15 years depending on the model (14); Energy storage: up to 15 years; Energy efficiency: 1-5 years (13)

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

< USD 500,000

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Market - Highly Regulated

Eskom has significant control over the grid and can prevent small-scale power generators connecting to the grid.(15)

Business - Supply Chain Constraints

Limited skills and institutional capacity within municipalities (15)

Capital - Limited Investor Interest

Shortage of affordable finance for smaller projects (13)

Impact Case

Read about impact metrics and social and environmental risks of the investment opportunity.

Sustainable Development Need

South Africa’s investment needs in energy infrastructure are vast. A major challenge for the South African government is to service rural populations where connection to the national grid is prohibitively expensive.(16) 3.5 million households still do not have access to electricity.(17)

Rural households face challenges due to their remote locations. Traditional models for off-grid electrification should be replicated across South Africa.(18) Local municipalities struggle to provide rural households with basic services, such as reliable electricity.(20),(18),(21),(16)

Many municipalities are attempting to tackle climate change and reduce their dependence on the national electricity utility (Eskom) by implementing clean off-grid energy technologies.(16)

Gender & Marginalisation

Energy poverty impacts women and children more severely than it does men, because women tend to do domestic chores such as cooking, cleaning and child care.(19)

Expected Development Outcome

Small-scale embedded generation (SSEG) offers municipalities opportunities to improve access and affordability of electricity services. It could also improve overall energy security.

Small-scale renewable energy infrastructure (such as rooftop photovoltaic (PV) systems) can also help facilitate and manage the provision of energy services to unserved and unserviceable communities.(22)

This investment opportunity area (IOA) can increase the provision of reliable, affordable and safe energy solutions to address basic needs, create jobs and promote socio-economic development.

Gender & Marginalisation

Improve energy security, decreasing the negative impact of the energy poverty on women

Primary SDGs addressed

No Poverty (SDG 1)
1 - No Poverty

1.4.1 Proportion of population living in households with access to basic services

Current Value

Proportion of population living in households with access to: (i) improved sanitation facilities: 82.0%; (ii) improved electricity: 89.6%; (iii) improved water facilities: 86.4% in 2017.(20)

Target Value

South Africa’s key poverty reduction program (2000) provides assistance to 17 million South Africans. In 2015 social grants covered 71.9% of all elderly persons and 92.2% of those classified as poor, one-third of households with children and 61.3% of poor households with children. Expenditures on social grants are expected to rise by 26% between 2016/17 and 2019/20.(26)

Affordable and Clean Energy (SDG 7)
7 - Affordable and Clean Energy

7.2.1 Renewable energy share in the total final energy consumption

7.1.1 Proportion of population with access to electricity

7.1.2 Proportion of population with primary reliance on clean fuels and technology

Current Value

26.2% (2015) (28)

95.27% (2017) (26)

N/A

Target Value

The Department of Energy (DoE) aspires to increase the share of renewable energy sources in the total national energy mix to 30% by 2025.(4)

N/A

The National Climate Change Response Policy White Paper identifies energy efficiency as one of South Africa's key flagship programs and a short term climate change mitigation measure. The White Paper promotes biofuels as another useful short term mitigation measure.(27)

Secondary SDGs addressed

Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure (SDG 9)
9 - Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure
Reduced Inequalities (SDG 10)
10 - Reduced Inequalities
Climate Action (SDG 13)
13 - Climate Action

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

South African citizens living in communities without secure access to power; people who would benefit from job creation

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

Public sector

Eskom (national power grid), local municipalities

Outcome Risks

Installing the new infrastructure may cause a loss in biodiversity, and destruction of natural habitats and rural landscapes.

Impact Risks

Unexpected impact risk on environment

Impact Classification

C—Contribute to Solutions

What

The outcome is likely to be positive and important, by promoting infrastructure development for remote communities previously not connected to the power grid.

Who

Local communities - families and businesses, Local municipalities

Risk

Low risk

Impact Thesis

Improve access to clean energy and provide energy security in rural areas.

Enabling Environment

Explore policy, regulatory and financial factors relevant for the investment opportunity.

Policy Environment

Integrated Resource Plan 2019: This plan allows for 500 megawatts (MW) per year for distributed generation for own use of between 1 MW and 10 MW.(13)

National Energy Efficiency Strategy 2005, 2008, post 2015; Eskom unbundling plan 2019-2021

White Paper on Energy Policy of 1998: This paper supports the provision of secure, efficient and sustainable energy for socio-economic development.

Integrated Energy Plan 2010: This plan outlines the country’s broader energy needs.

Post-2015 National Energy Efficiency Strategy: This strategy guides the plan for energy-efficient buildings in South Africa by 2030.(3)

Financial Environment

Financial incentives: Property assessed clean energy (PACE) financing solves the upfront cost barrier by providing 100% financing for project costs. Long term repayment of up to 30 years makes longer payback projects immediately cashflow positive and buildings more valuable.(16)

Fiscal incentives: Tax deductible depreciation allowance in the year of installation and commissioning (23)

Other incentives: Pay As You Save allows utility customers to access cost-effective energy efficiency upgrades and distributed renewable energy assets regardless of income, credit history, or renter status. It is important for financing programs to serve hard-to-reach market segments.(13)

Regulatory Environment

Amendments to Schedule 2 of the Electricity Regulation Act 4 of 2006 on 10 November 2017: These regulations exempt small-scale power generators, wheelers and distributors (<1 MW) from obtaining a generation license.(3)

The National Energy Regulator of South Africa approved Eskom tariff increases of 9.41% (2020), 8.1% (2021), and 5.2% (2022).(13)

Energy reporting is mandatory for companies using 400 terajoules (TJ) or more.(13)

Carbon Tax Act (No 15 of 2019): This Act came into effect on 1 June 2019.

Marketplace Participants

Discover examples of public and private stakeholders active in this investment opportunity that were identified through secondary research and consultations.

Private Sector

Commercial banks (Amalgamated Banks of South Africa (ABSA), Nedbank, Standard Bank), Mergence, Development Bank of Southern Africa, South African Renewable Energy Business Incubator (SAREBI), PPC, Delft South and Ilitha Park

Government

Eskom, Provincial investment and trade agencies

Non-Profit

GreenCape, South African Renewable Energy Technology Centre

Target Locations

See what country regions are most suitable for the investment opportunity. All references to Kosovo shall be understood to be in the context of the Security Council Resolution 1244 (1999)
country static map
semi-urban

South Africa: Countrywide

Potential investment opportunities for small scale energy infrastructure exist across all regions in South Africa.(13),(24),(25)

References

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